Friday, 5 September 2014

Jump Start Lesson 1

Jump Start Lesson 1

1. Visit the following website daily or every weekend, read the daily commentary, try to understand why and how the author form opinion whether market up or down for the following market day:

http://www.patterntrader.com/category/daily-market-analysis/

Can read other commentary too.

There is no right or wrong, everybody can form their own opinion.

We learn how they make such conclusion, so that we can make our own opinion when we are more mature.

2. Visit the following websites, if possible, daily, before 9.30pm (Before Market Open) Malaysia times:

a) http://www.marketwatch.com/
b) http://finance.yahoo.com/
c) http://money.msn.com/
d) http://www.forexfactory.com/ (go to calendar, filter US, red and orange news)

When read the news, need to differentiate the write up talk about fact or opinion. Fact is fact. We look for fact. Fact will impact the market or industry or individual stock.

Can visit other useful websites too.

3) after visit (2), try to form an opinion, whether market going up, down or side way.

Do this on every Friday..if can.

4) There are two things move a company's stock in the long term:
a) Interest rate - Fed interest rate policy/monetary policy.
    For US economy, when interest rate up, market will down and later up; bank will make bigger profit.
b) Company performance: earning (sales and profit);

5)  This is likely a short term mover unless their impact have long term impact affecting their earning: news:

a) Geopolitical issues (war, conflict,..)
b) Litigation
c) Disaster - earth quake, typhoon,... (occur in develop country..have major impact)
d) Election
f) Product launch (Samsung, Apple,...)
g) For drug/biotech companies => development phase file with FDA
h) Accident (aircraft => aircraft companies; ..)

The above prepare our self for understanding the market.

==============
For item 2(a), you may sign up and put alert on your company you work. then will received alert when there is news. We put up alert for the stock/industry we interested.



Tuesday, 26 August 2014

A Trader Life

 

I am just a new born turtle.. my shelf no longer support me, I am hungry and I am excited to explore my new world.

I look around and saw other beautiful turtle too, they are also hungry, excited.


Luckily I heard some familiar voice I can understand, .. ding ding ding, come on, you better learn like a span, absorb all the knowledge in the shortest time; know to long up trend, short down trend; buy low during dip at the support during up trend and short at resistance during down trend; delta, gamma, theta, vega, time, can be your enemy or friend, depends what position you are in; butterfly, straddle, strangle,..news, interest, FED, geopolitical, earning,... and many many more.

Always remember, pattern is your only friend. No one care about you.. you have to care about your own self. Learn candlestick to understand the psychology of traders, technical analysis to find support and resistance; you can control how much you loss, but you cannot control how much you are going to gain... 

By the way, get to know some friends, support each other, this can ease your learning curve. 

But,.. 

Sorry to say that many do not listen, they are selfish, greedy, easily lost control with anger, impatient, wrong timing, not follow wise advise, listen to tip without analysing, thinking it is fun and this is a big play ground, not persistent and break rules..
 


Beware!!!
 


Hopefully you can grow up as a big beautiful turtle, strong, knowledgeable, free,.. and probably lay more egg, more beautiful turtle.


Thursday, 21 August 2014

Why you want to be a trader?

Why you want to be a trader?

Everyone can be a trader. 
But not everyone will be a profitable trader. 
Probably less than 10%-15% of all the trader are making profit.

 
"Many turtles hatch. Few make it to the sea."

So it is a risky journey if you want to be a trader. 
You may lose all your capital. You may ...

But you will get this advantages if you able to be among the profitable trader:
a) Your own time
b) You answer to your own self
c) The profit is unlimited
d) The loss is limited by the amount of money you put in 
         (in normal circumstances except if you borrow to trade or trade naked or 
          trade in the instrument you don't know)
e) You become more knowledgeable
f) You can start your journey with minimum capital. (USD2,500 - USD10,000) 
    depends which broker you used.
g) Everyone can learn up easily.
h)..


So have you decided? You want to become a trader?


Tuesday, 19 August 2014

股市印象

股市印象

  •      
聽到很多人批評股市,將它視為“賭場”,認為一旦上癮以後,便會無法脫離,最終導致妻離子散的局面。其實這是不瞭解股市的起源,有著非常大的誤解。
股市起源於17世紀的荷蘭,當時荷蘭東印度公司到海外各地尋找不同的貨物,再拿回本國販賣,賺取利潤。若船長資金不足,將無法組建船隊,便在市場上向公眾籌集資金。公眾便出資參與該船長的生意。

船長募集資金以後,便組建船隊,然後遠赴東南亞各地購買歐洲需要的胡椒、肉桂、荳蔻等等的各種貨品。當時的胡椒與黃金是同等價值,利潤之豐厚可想而知。
船長回國出售所有的貨品,扣除成本後,剩餘的利潤便按照出資比例,分發給所有投資者。
如果船隊經營得當,每年按比例分紅,投資者可獲得豐厚的回報;若船隊經營不當,投資者只能自嘆倒霉。

如果身在那個時代,有船長希望你投資他的遠航貿易,你一定會在投資前做出詳盡的調查,包括航行的時間、貨品的利潤、氣象的預測、甚至船隊的經營方式及船長的人品都考慮在內,因為你不希望把錢“丟進大海”,而是追求最低的風險及最高的利潤。這樣的想法也是人之常情。

若用現在的財經術語來說,當時的船長首次在市場集資就是首次公開售股(IPO),所有的股票都可以在公開市場自由買賣,而投資者就是該船長的合夥人,也就是股東。
公司經營得當,每年將部份利潤派發給股票持有人,就是股息。

若公司每年派發的股息率高於銀行定期,那麼公司的股票必然有價值,勢必引起市場的追逐,股價自然節節上升。反之,公司經營不善,毫無價值可言,股價自然不堪入目。
只要你願意花時間收集資料做研究,必然能尋找到懂得如何經營公司業務的“船長”,從而賺取合理的回報,增加自己的財富。

股市到底是不是賭場,端看投資者的心態而已。(星洲日報/財經小品:謝汪潮)


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